San Martin S.J.vs
Midland
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martin S.J. 0-0 Midland, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martin S.J. 3-2 Midland
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.7% | 35.8% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.1% | 35.6% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 22.2% | 28.7% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Projected Score
San Martin S.J. 0–0 Midland
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San Martin S.J.WWWDD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandLWLDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Martin S.J.Midland
35.9Attack35.8
69.2Defence72.8
48.7Form50.6
53.6Power54.9
0.63xG0.61