San Martin S.J.vs
Colegiales
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Martin S.J. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martin S.J. 0-0 Colegiales, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martin S.J. 2-0 Colegiales
Original prediction
San Martin S.J.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.8% | 40.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.4% | 34.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.39 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
San Martin S.J. 0–0 Colegiales
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
San Martin S.J.
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
San Martin S.J. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60