San Martin S.J.vs
Club Atlético Güemes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 2/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Martin S.J. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
San Martin S.J. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Club Atlético Güemes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin S.J. hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Primera Nacional, while San Martin S.J. holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Martin S.J.
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
19.4%
San Martin S.J. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20