San Martin S.J.vs
Atlanta
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin S.J. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlanta are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlanta hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60