San Martin S.J.vs
Almagro
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Martin S.J. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martin S.J. 0-0 Almagro, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martin S.J. 1-2 Almagro
Original prediction
San Martin S.J.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.3% | 50.5% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 5.68 | 16.2% | 18.2% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
San Martin S.J. 0–0 Almagro
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
San Martin S.J.
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
San Martin S.J. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60