GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

21.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin FormosaWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo BelgranoDDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin FormosaSportivo Belgrano
57.4Attack36.7
61.1Defence83.3
66.7Form53.3
63.0Power59.0
0.85xG0.77
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