San Martin Formosavs
Sportivo Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
21.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80