GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Formosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

San Martin Formosa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Formosa

Probability

71.0%

Model confidence

71.0%

San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin FormosaLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin FormosaSarmiento Resistencia
57.9Attack26.3
63.2Defence49.1
68.4Form31.6
64.4Power38.5
2.07xG0.49
View match centre →