GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Formosa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

San Martin Formosa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boca Unidos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Formosa

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

12.1%

San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin FormosaLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Boca UnidosLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San Martin FormosaBoca Unidos
57.9Attack42.6
63.2Defence51.9
68.4Form40.7
64.4Power46.3
1.91xG0.82
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