San Martin Formosavs
9 de Julio Rafaela
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Martin Formosa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while 9 de Julio Rafaela are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and san Martin Formosa hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring San Martin Formosa with 12.1% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Martin Formosa
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
12.1%
San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60