San Marino U21vs
Kosovo U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kosovo U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Marino U21 0-1 Kosovo U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marino U21 0-3 Kosovo U21
Original prediction
Kosovo U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 63.00 | 1.5% | 14.4% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 18.05 | 5.3% | 20.3% | 15.1 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 93.3% | 65.2% | -28.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.0 pts
Projected Score
San Marino U21 0–1 Kosovo U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kosovo U21
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
Kosovo U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 30 · avg 0.00/6.00
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80