GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 8/28/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fiorentino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

San Marino Academy are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fiorentino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentino hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Campionato, while Fiorentino holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fiorentino

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

10.6%

Fiorentino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Marino AcademyDLLLD

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FiorentinoWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Marino AcademyFiorentino
35.6Attack43.0
17.8Defence38.7
24.4Form40.9
28.4Power42.5
1.35xG2.00
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