San Marino Academyvs
Fiorentino
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 8/28/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marino Academy 0-2 Fiorentino
Original prediction
Fiorentino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.79 | 23.8% | 25.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 21.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 49.9% | 52.5% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Fiorentino
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Fiorentino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60