San Marino Academyvs
Cosmos
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 10/23/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marino Academy 0-4 Cosmos
Original prediction
Cosmos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.76 | 13.3% | 17.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.5% | 22.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 65.2% | 60.9% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Cosmos
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60