San Marcosvs
Union Comercio
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 3/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
San Marcos are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Union Comercio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 57.6-point power-rating edge (10.9 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Segunda División, while Union Comercio holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Comercio
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40