San Marcosvs
Jalapa
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Marcos 0-0 Jalapa, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marcos 3-1 Jalapa
Original prediction
San Marcos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.9% | 37.9% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 30.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.5% | 31.4% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
San Marcos 0–0 Jalapa
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
San Marcos
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
San Marcos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San MarcosLWWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JalapaDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San MarcosJalapa
25.0Attack12.5
54.2Defence54.2
33.3Form16.7
40.5Power31.1
0.93xG0.74