GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Marcos de Arica are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Union Espanola are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Marcos de AricaDDDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Union EspanolaWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Marcos de AricaUnion Espanola
40.0Attack47.4
73.3Defence52.6
50.0Form49.1
56.1Power51.8
1.23xG0.68
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