GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Marcos de Arica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rangers de Talca are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

21.8%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Marcos de AricaDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Rangers de TalcaDLDDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
San Marcos de AricaRangers de Talca
42.6Attack23.5
75.9Defence43.1
55.6Form9.8
59.7Power29.1
1.71xG0.32
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