Primera BPrimera B
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:02
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

Home
LL
20
Full time
Magallanes

Magallanes

Away
L
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
San Marcos de Arica(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
San Marcos de Arica
43%
Draw
29%
Magallanes
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Marcos de Arica
18
Magallanes
9
Defence
San Marcos de Arica
27
Magallanes
66
Momentum
San Marcos de Arica
0
Magallanes
0
Danger (xG)
San Marcos de Arica
0.45
Magallanes
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (San Marcos de Arica)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Magallanes)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (San Marcos de Arica)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Magallanes)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
LLD
MagallanesMagallanes
LLLW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
San Marcos de Arica43%
Draw29%
Magallanes28%

San Marcos de Arica leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Marcos de Arica head into this in Primera B fixture at Estadio Carlos Dittborn in mixed form (LL), while Magallanes arrive in mixed form (L). San Marcos de Arica have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Magallanes over 1 games.

The model rates San Marcos de Arica's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Magallanes defence, and Magallanes's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 San Marcos de Arica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

San Marcos de Arica have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Magallanes have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between San Marcos de Arica and Magallanes in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects San Marcos de Arica to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: San Marcos de Arica 4260%, Draw 2928%, Magallanes 2813%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

L
vs Coquimbo Unido
27 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Deportes Limache
20 Jun 2026
13
D
@ Curico Unido
12 May 2026
22
Magallanes

Magallanes

L
vs A. Italiano
11 Jul 2026
01
L
@ A. Italiano
27 Jun 2026
12
L
@ Palestino
20 Jun 2026
14
W
vs Recoleta
16 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes?

GoalVio's model predicts San Marcos de Arica to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Marcos de Arica vs Magallanes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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