GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 2/7/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Iquique · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

San Marcos de Arica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportes Iquique are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Iquique hold a 43.9-point power-rating edge (19.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Copa Chile, while Deportes Iquique holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Iquique

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Deportes Iquique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Marcos de AricaLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes IquiqueWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Iquique
11.1Attack66.7
27.8Defence66.7
5.6Form61.1
19.3Power63.2
0.87xG2.44
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