San Marcos de Aricavs
Deportes Copiapo
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Marcos de Arica 1-0 Deportes Copiapo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marcos de Arica 2-1 Deportes Copiapo
Original prediction
San Marcos de Arica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.1% | 51.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.4% | 27.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.5% | 21.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Copiapo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
San Marcos de Arica
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20