San Marcos de Aricavs
D. Puerto Montt
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Marcos de Arica 1-0 D. Puerto Montt, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marcos de Arica 0-0 D. Puerto Montt
Original prediction
San Marcos de Arica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.5% | 53.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 28.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.8% | 18.4% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
San Marcos de Arica 1–0 D. Puerto Montt
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
San Marcos de Arica
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60