San Marcos de Aricavs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Marcos de Arica 1-0 Curico Unido, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Marcos de Arica 3-0 Curico Unido
Original prediction
San Marcos de Arica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.1% | 50.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 28.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.2% | 20.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Curico Unido
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
San Marcos de Arica
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40