Copa ChileCopa Chile
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:14
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

Home
LL
01
Full time
Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido

Away
D
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Coquimbo Unido(54%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Coquimbo Unido
Win probability
San Marcos de Arica
21%
Draw
25%
Coquimbo Unido
54%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Marcos de Arica
18
Coquimbo Unido
34
Defence
San Marcos de Arica
27
Coquimbo Unido
66
Momentum
San Marcos de Arica
0
Coquimbo Unido
33
Danger (xG)
San Marcos de Arica
0.45
Coquimbo Unido
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (San Marcos de Arica)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Coquimbo Unido)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (San Marcos de Arica)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Coquimbo Unido)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
LLD
Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
WDWDW

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
San Marcos de Arica21%
Draw25%
Coquimbo Unido54%

Coquimbo Unido leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Marcos de Arica head into this in Copa Chile fixture at Estadio Carlos Dittborn in mixed form (LL), while Coquimbo Unido arrive in mixed form (D). San Marcos de Arica have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Coquimbo Unido over 1 games.

The model rates San Marcos de Arica's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Coquimbo Unido defence, and Coquimbo Unido's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 San Marcos de Arica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

San Marcos de Arica have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Coquimbo Unido have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per away game.

Coquimbo Unido have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Coquimbo Unido to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: San Marcos de Arica 2086%, Draw 2492%, Coquimbo Unido 5422%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

San Marcos de Arica 0Draws 01 Coquimbo Unido
Avg goals: 1.0
27 Jun 2026
San Marcos de Arica
L01
Coquimbo Unido

Recent form

San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

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27 Jun 2026
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vs Deportes Limache
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D
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Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido

W
@ Union La Calera
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10
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27 Jun 2026
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W
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Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?

GoalVio's model predicts Coquimbo Unido to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more