GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Marcos de Arica are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cobreloa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cobreloa hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Marcos de AricaWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CobreloaDWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
San Marcos de AricaCobreloa
40.0Attack64.8
73.3Defence63.0
50.0Form63.0
56.1Power63.6
0.93xG0.97
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