San Luisvs
Union Espanola
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Luis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Luis 2-0 Union Espanola
Original prediction
San Luis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.8% | 43.1% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 28.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.2% | 28.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
San Luis
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
San Luis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60