Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cobreloa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Luis 4-2 Cobreloa
Original prediction
Cobreloa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.9% | 31.7% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.0% | 24.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 30.2% | 43.4% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Cobreloa
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Cobreloa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San LuisWLWDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CobreloaWLWDD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San LuisCobreloa
51.9Attack64.9
57.4Defence64.9
55.6Form64.9
56.4Power65.0
1.14xG1.55