San Luisvs
Antofagasta
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
San Luis 2-1 Antofagasta
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.2% | 35.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 28.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.1% | 36.4% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80