GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 3/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Lorenzo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Lorenzo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 70.5-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Copa Argentina, while San Lorenzo holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Lorenzo

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

San Lorenzo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San LorenzoWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
San LorenzoSarmiento Resistencia
100.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
77.5Power7.0
1.82xG0.82
View match centre →