San LorenzovsSao Paulo

San Lorenzo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.