San Lorenzovs
Santos
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Santos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20