GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/9/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Lorenzo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palestino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San LorenzoDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PalestinoWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San LorenzoPalestino
33.3Attack14.3
72.2Defence66.7
38.9Form28.6
50.1Power39.6
0.91xG0.55
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