San Lorenzovs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/24/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Lorenzo 0-0 Newells Old Boys, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Lorenzo 0-0 Newells Old Boys
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 37.1% | 37.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 33.6% | 36.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 29.3% | 26.9% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw 1.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
San Lorenzo 0–0 Newells Old Boys
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San LorenzoWWLLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysWLDWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San LorenzoNewells Old Boys
24.4Attack32.2
70.0Defence57.5
44.4Form40.2
49.0Power45.6
0.68xG0.53