San LorenzovsIndependiente Medellin

San Lorenzo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while San Lorenzo holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.