San Lorenzovs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/20/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
San Lorenzo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00