San Lorenzovs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/27/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Lorenzo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
San Lorenzo are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while San Lorenzo holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Lorenzo
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
San Lorenzo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80