San Lorenzovs
Deportivo Rincon
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 3/21/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Lorenzo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
San Lorenzo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Rincon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 70.5-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Copa Argentina, while San Lorenzo holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Lorenzo
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
San Lorenzo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00