San Lorenzovs
Deportivo Riestra
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/11/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Lorenzo 0-0 Deportivo Riestra, with an exact score probability of 45%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Lorenzo 1-0 Deportivo Riestra
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.9% | 31.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 33.8% | 41.0% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 28.3% | 27.1% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
San Lorenzo 0–0 Deportivo Riestra
Exact score probability: 45%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20