San LorenzovsDeportivo Cuenca

San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Cuenca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.