San Lorenzovs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/20/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Lorenzo 0-0 Boca Juniors, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Lorenzo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.07 | 23.0% | 22.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.9% | 35.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 46.1% | 41.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Projected Score
San Lorenzo 0–0 Boca Juniors
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80