San Lorenzo Res.vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 6/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
San Lorenzo Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00