GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Lorenzo Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Lorenzo Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Reserve League, while San Lorenzo Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Lorenzo Res.

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

San Lorenzo Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Lorenzo Res.WLDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2WLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
San Lorenzo Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
40.9Attack30.3
62.1Defence60.6
48.5Form39.4
52.5Power45.7
1.06xG0.61
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