San Lorenzo Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Lorenzo Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.5 against 51.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.5% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
27.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40