San Lorenzo Res.vs
Aldosivi Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Lorenzo Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Lorenzo Res. 0-0 Aldosivi Res., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Lorenzo Res. 3-2 Aldosivi Res.
Original prediction
San Lorenzo Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.9% | 42.7% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.2% | 30.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 22.9% | 26.7% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Projected Score
San Lorenzo Res. 0–0 Aldosivi Res.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
San Lorenzo Res.
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
San Lorenzo Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20