GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/10/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose EarthquakesDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver WhitecapsDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps
66.7Attack74.5
52.6Defence66.7
57.9Form66.7
58.9Power68.4
1.41xG2.00
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