San Jose Earthquakesvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/10/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80