San Jose Earthquakesvs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.4% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
86.4%
Model confidence
86.4%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20