San Jose Earthquakesvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20