Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:14
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes

Home
LL
04
Full time
Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC

Away
DW
PayPal Park
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
San Jose Earthquakes(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
San Jose Earthquakes
37%
Draw
22%
Orlando City SC
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Jose Earthquakes
73
Orlando City SC
86
Defence
San Jose Earthquakes
6
Orlando City SC
27
Momentum
San Jose Earthquakes
0
Orlando City SC
67
Danger (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes
1.80
Orlando City SC
2.25
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (San Jose Earthquakes)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Orlando City SC)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (San Jose Earthquakes)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Orlando City SC)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
LL
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
DW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
San Jose Earthquakes37%
Draw22%
Orlando City SC42%

Orlando City SC leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Jose Earthquakes head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at PayPal Park in mixed form (LL), while Orlando City SC arrive in mixed form (DW). San Jose Earthquakes have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Orlando City SC over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — San Jose Earthquakes (73/100) and Orlando City SC (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

San Jose Earthquakes have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Orlando City SC have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects San Jose Earthquakes to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: San Jose Earthquakes 3676%, Draw 2158%, Orlando City SC 4166%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes

L
vs FC Dallas
17 May 2026
23
L
@ Seattle Sounders
14 May 2026
23
Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC

D
vs Atlanta United FC
17 May 2026
11
W
vs Philadelphia Union
14 May 2026
43

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

GoalVio's model predicts San Jose Earthquakes to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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