San Jose Earthquakesvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New York City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00