Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:14
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes

Home
LL
11
Full time
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

Away
WL
PayPal Park
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
San Jose Earthquakes(34%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
San Jose Earthquakes
34%
Draw
22%
Los Angeles Galaxy
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Jose Earthquakes
73
Los Angeles Galaxy
54
Defence
San Jose Earthquakes
6
Los Angeles Galaxy
46
Momentum
San Jose Earthquakes
0
Los Angeles Galaxy
50
Danger (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes
1.80
Los Angeles Galaxy
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (San Jose Earthquakes)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Los Angeles Galaxy)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (San Jose Earthquakes)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Los Angeles Galaxy)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
LL
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
WL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
San Jose Earthquakes34%
Draw22%
Los Angeles Galaxy44%

Los Angeles Galaxy leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Jose Earthquakes head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at PayPal Park in mixed form (LL), while Los Angeles Galaxy arrive in mixed form (WL). San Jose Earthquakes have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Los Angeles Galaxy over 2 games.

The model rates San Jose Earthquakes's attack at 73/100 against a 46/100 Los Angeles Galaxy defence, and Los Angeles Galaxy's attack at 54/100 against a 6/100 San Jose Earthquakes backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

San Jose Earthquakes have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Los Angeles Galaxy have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects San Jose Earthquakes to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: San Jose Earthquakes 3444%, Draw 2203%, Los Angeles Galaxy 4353%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes

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23
L
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23
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

W
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17 May 2026
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L
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Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

GoalVio's model predicts San Jose Earthquakes to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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