San Jose Earthquakesvs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/1/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
78.6%
Model confidence
11.2%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00