GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Lowconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

80.3%

Model confidence

9.9%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IIWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Whitecaps IILDLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIWhitecaps II
65.0Attack42.4
58.3Defence25.8
48.3Form24.2
56.0Power33.8
3.39xG0.93
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